Polymarket traders have reduced the odds of the CLARITY Act passing this year to a record low of 32%. This decline reflects skepticism about Congress's ability to advance the legislation before the end of 2026.
The odds of the CLARITY Act becoming law have fallen significantly from 82% in February to 32% as of Friday. This drop is attributed to unresolved Senate negotiations over ethics provisions and concerns about bipartisan support. Despite ongoing discussions and an anticipated updated legislative text, the bill has yet to gain Democratic backing.