NEXTPredict organizers paid a $12,000 premium to hedge their October 2026 conference on a prediction market, securing up to $3 million in coverage if over half of JFK flights are canceled the day before the event. The trade, executed via Kalshi with Susquehanna as market maker, is described as a first in the event industry.
Source: Decrypt
Published by source: Oct 12, 2026, 04:01 PM UTC
Blockchain.com has applied to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for licenses to offer event contracts and cryptocurrency derivatives to US customers, aiming to operate its own regulated marketplace. The company seeks both a designated contract market license and a futures commission merchant license, which would allow it to serve retail and institutional traders directly.
Source: Decrypt
Published by source: Oct 9, 2026, 06:06 PM UTC
The NFL has filed an amicus brief supporting New Jersey's Supreme Court petition against Kalshi, urging clarification on whether the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has exclusive jurisdiction over sports wagering on prediction markets. The NFL argues that state-level regulation is preferable due to concerns about consumer harm, game integrity, and insufficient CFTC oversight.
Source: Reason Magazine
Published by source: Oct 8, 2026, 09:45 PM UTC
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan described the pursuit of 100x cryptocurrency tokens as 'irrational exuberance' during Token2049 Singapore, contrasting it with the more predictable odds offered by prediction markets. Polymarket has seen $1.21 billion in prediction volume over the past seven days, according to DefiLlama.
Source: Cointelegraph.com News
Published by source: Oct 7, 2026, 12:29 PM UTC
The NEXTPredict summit, scheduled for October 22-23 in New York, is emphasizing mainstream media engagement and journalistic standards to address the growing audience for prediction markets. Organizers expect over 2,500 attendees and more than 50 speakers, with a program designed to attract national media coverage and address key industry issues such as insider trading.
Source: Decrypt
Published by source: Oct 5, 2026, 04:03 PM UTC
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has sent two proposed rules to the White House that would redefine 'swap' to include event contracts, aiming to cement its regulatory authority over prediction markets. One rule would explicitly include event contracts as swaps, while another would exclude 'casino-style gambling products,' with both awaiting further review and public comment.
Source: Decrypt
Published by source: Sep 30, 2026, 06:39 PM UTC
Mark Carney gained international recognition in 2026 for opposing U.S. President Donald Trump, leading to speculation about potential awards. He briefly became a favorite for the Nobel Peace Prize, with traders estimating his chances at 14%.
Source: cp24.com
Added: Sep 30, 2026, 02:29 PM UTC
Kalshi's appeal regarding sports betting laws in Ohio and Tennessee has been denied, contributing to a widening circuit split.
Source: The Block
Added: Sep 27, 2026, 01:28 PM UTC
OG.com has filed with the CFTC to offer single-stock perpetual futures, joining other platforms in the US market. The proposed futures would be cash-settled and trade continuously during the week.
Source: Cointelegraph.com News
Added: Sep 26, 2026, 12:36 PM UTC
The CFTC's Division of Market Oversight has flagged 'mention' contracts in prediction markets as susceptible to manipulation. These contracts, which involve specific actions of named individuals, are now under scrutiny following recent regulatory actions.
Source: Decrypt
Added: Sep 23, 2026, 01:12 PM UTC
CoinDesk found that trades near $5,499 made up 57% of the ether perpetual-futures volume it sampled on Kalshi from September 17 to 20. The finding concerns sampled volume, not a single trade or all exchange activity.
Source: Coindesk
Published by source: Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC
South Korean police have charged 26 users of Polymarket for illegal gambling activities. The charges come amid ongoing scrutiny of online gambling practices in the country.
Source: The Block
Added: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 PM UTC
Underdog has filed a lawsuit against the state of Connecticut. The lawsuit aims to halt the state's crackdown on sports prediction markets.
Source: The Block
Added: Sep 16, 2026, 01:00 PM UTC
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) reported that prediction markets are "rife with inside trading," citing specific incidents involving large profits from advance knowledge and alleged tampering. ESMA noted that platform responses are mostly reactive and that prediction markets have not gained significant traction in the EU due to regulatory barriers.
Source: Decrypt
Published by source: Sep 11, 2026, 12:06 PM UTC
DoubleZero has incorporated Kalshi's election markets in preparation for the upcoming November midterms. This addition aims to enhance user engagement during the election period.
Source: The Block
Added: Sep 10, 2026, 12:35 PM UTC
LeBron James has hinted at a potential partnership with Polymarket through a recent social media video. The video suggests an upcoming collaboration between the basketball star and the prediction market platform.
Source: The Block
Added: Sep 6, 2026, 11:51 AM UTC
Kalshi experienced a dramatic increase in US web traffic, reaching 15.4 million visits in July, a rise of over 1,500% from August 2025. This growth coincides with intensified legal scrutiny of its sports contracts.
Source: Cointelegraph.com News
Added: Sep 4, 2026, 12:24 PM UTC
Kalshi plans to file for CFTC approval for a WTI crude oil perpetual futures contract that would allow continuous trading. This contract would be the first of its kind on a regulated US platform if approved.
Source: Cointelegraph.com News
Added: Sep 3, 2026, 12:26 PM UTC
Laurie Buckhout, a Republican House candidate from North Carolina, has been suspended from Kalshi for three years after betting on her own election. The suspension follows a settlement notice revealing she purchased less than $1,000 in contracts on her race.
Source: Decrypt
Added: Sep 2, 2026, 12:26 PM UTC
Kalshi has imposed its first lifetime ban on former Congress member George Santos. This action marks a significant enforcement decision by the prediction market platform.
Source: Coindesk
Added: Aug 31, 2026, 03:44 PM UTC
A former White House teleprompter operator has been ordered to pay $172,000 due to trades made on Kalshi's mention markets. The ruling highlights regulatory scrutiny in trading practices.
Source: The Block
Added: Aug 30, 2026, 01:29 PM UTC
Kalshi has received a legal setback following a court ruling that affirms state powers over prediction markets. This decision impacts the regulatory landscape for Kalshi's operations.
Source: Coindesk
Added: Aug 29, 2026, 01:31 PM UTC
Connecticut has initiated a new lawsuit against Kalshi, adding to the ongoing legal disputes surrounding prediction markets. This development marks a significant escalation in the regulatory scrutiny faced by the platform.
Source: Coindesk
Added: Aug 27, 2026, 06:42 PM UTC
Kalshi has raised $1.12 billion through a private equity offering since April, according to a recent SEC filing.
Source: The Block
Added: Aug 26, 2026, 08:35 AM UTC