All markets

polymarket
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
79%
24h: $5.1K
kalshi
EV market share in 2030?
YES 50%
opinion
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$1B
88%
24h: $1.2K
manifold
Will India Exist in 2027
YES 85%
24h: $13.9K
futuur
Cristiano Ronaldo to score 1000 career goals?
polymarket
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
YES 8%
24h: $36.7K
kalshi
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
YES 50%
opinion
Oscars 2026: Best Cinematography Winner
One Battle After Ano...
69%
24h: $489.4K
manifold
Will I solve an Erdos problem?
YES 8%
24h: $2.4K
futuur
Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC
polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
19%
24h: $1.6M
kalshi
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
YES 50%
opinion
Will Polymarket launch its own L2 (“POLY”) by ...?
September 30, 2026
33%
24h: $3.1K
manifold
In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]
24h: $288
futuur
Will Jamaica's Parliament vote in favor of becoming a Republic by the end of 2026?
polymarket
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
YES 3%
24h: $36
kalshi
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
YES 50%
opinion
Oscars 2026: Best Film Editing Winner
One Battle After Ano...
75%
24h: $237.5K
manifold
Do you like 4% odds?
YES 4%
24h: $2.6K
futuur
Apple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026?
polymarket
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
10%
24h: $24.0K
kalshi
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
YES 50%
opinion
Will fomo.family launch a token by ... ?
December 31, 2026
25%
24h: $143.4K
manifold
Will my friend wake up by 10 am?
YES 48%
24h: $26
futuur
James Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by an openly homosexual actor?
polymarket
US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
10%
24h: $88
kalshi
What genre will Beyonce’s next album be?
YES 50%
opinion
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
<$100b
95%
24h: $22.0K
manifold
Will "Considerations around career costs of politic..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
YES 14%
24h: $1
futuur
China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026?
polymarket
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$600M
97%
24h: $600.9K
kalshi
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
YES 50%
opinion
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ... ?
$1B
64%
24h: $2.8K
manifold
What is your favorite number from 0-9?
futuur
Opening of impeachment procedures against Lula before the 2026 elections?
polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
39%
24h: $2.9M
kalshi
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
YES 50%
opinion
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ...?
>$1T
87%
24h: $8.8K
manifold
How much VRAM will NVIDIA 6090 (or closest equivalent Nvidia GPU) have?
24h: $1.9K
futuur
Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections
polymarket
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
39%
24h: $161
kalshi
Canadian Team to Win the Stanley Cup® Before the 2031 Season
YES 50%
opinion
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by...?
December 31, 2026
31%
24h: $1.2K
manifold
Trump announce end of military operations against Iran by…? [Polymarket]
24h: $390
futuur
Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
polymarket
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
France
16%
24h: $8.6M
kalshi
Will Tom Cruise be cast in another Film With Ana de Armas?
YES 50%
opinion
LoL: LPL 2026 Season Winner
Bilibili Gaming
49%
24h: $36.3K
manifold
When will Indonesia announce the IMO 2026 Team?
24h: $463
futuur
Winner of the next US Presidential Election
polymarket
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
13%
24h: $451
kalshi
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
YES 50%
opinion
LoL: LCK 2026 Season Winner
Gen.G Esports
62%
24h: $397.3K
manifold
NHL Stanley Cup Round 1 Series Winner 2026
24h: $1.7K
futuur
Agent 007 (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
polymarket
Ukraine election called by...?
June 30, 2026
21%
24h: $338
kalshi
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
YES 50%
opinion
Metamask FDV above ... one day after launch?
$700M
30%
24h: $129.2K
manifold
Will Don Trump Jr be married in a new East Wing Ballroom currently in randomly changing states or construction?
YES 18%
24h: $110
futuur
Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?